Prediction markets centred on golf majors draw together a diverse participant base: dedicated golf analysts, quantitative researchers employing strokes-gained methodology, and algorithmic traders who value golf championships for their transparent outcomes and rich historical datasets.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (check PolyGram for next year)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live pricing from PolyGram markets (May 2026):
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Top-ranked player with commanding performance through 2025–26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Major championship victor with reliable tournament results
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Pursuing US Open silverware, excellent mid-iron execution
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional ball-striking accuracy aligns with US Open demands
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with long irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Prediction markets on golf majors present multiple avenues for developing a trading advantage:
- Venue-specific patterns: Particular competitors demonstrate consistent outperformance or underperformance at individual courses
- Strokes gained data: SG metrics show robust correlation to major championship outcomes — analyse approach-shot rankings on comparable course types
- Draw and conditions: Tournament scheduling and weather exposure create systematic benefits or headwinds for different field members
- Form cycles versus track record: Pricing occasionally emphasises short-term momentum at the expense of historical major success
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Settlement occurs on Sunday evening following the concluding round, typically within one business day of the winner's confirmation via PGA Tour and R&A official announcements.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes live pricing throughout championship rounds. Winner odds fluctuate as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Yes — PolyGram offers individual player cut/miss contracts for major championships, enabling granular trading on every participant's progression through each round.