🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

Which venue prices "Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 3.5 Games 77% Game 2 Winner 56% Game 3 Winner 56% Game 4 Winner 56% Volume: $5.7M Liquidity: $4.1M Closes: 23 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games77%
Game 2 Winner56%
Game 3 Winner56%
Game 4 Winner56%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 5?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 4.5 Games39%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
First Blood in Game 1?32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?28%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage23%
Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)18%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 77% YES probability for Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The Inter… on Kalshi Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Kalshi Alternative.

See all markets →