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LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 3.5 Games 73% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Game 2 Winner 55% Volume: $151K Liquidity: $441K Closes: 22 Oct 2026
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LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Game 2 Winner55%
Game 3 Winner55%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 4 Winner49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?49%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)38%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)30%
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs Solary (+2.5)18%
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)14%

Market context

The LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Galions and Solary in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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