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LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% First Blood in Game 2? 100% Volume: $471K Liquidity: $750K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?91%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: pain gaming vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - cblol regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between paiN Gaming and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "pai…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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