Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Envy’s Bo3 against FURIA Esports sits in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, with the official standings page listing both teams at 0-0 entering the stage and the event running as a single round-robin group format in Los Angeles.[11][12] That makes the current crowd-implied **0% YES** on the market a stark outlier versus the public discussion around the fixture: Strafe’s user vote leant slightly to FURIA, while another match page showed an even stronger FURIA preference, despite the market title being centred on Envy.[2][6] On exchange-style platforms, that matters because Polymarket expresses the position as a binary implied probability, whereas Betfair or Smarkets typically surface decimal prices after commission, so a near-zero price on one venue can still map to a tradable but thinly supported underdog view elsewhere.
Recent results frame how to read that price. Coverage of Stage 2 noted that both ENVY and FURIA had been under pressure in Alpha after earlier losses, with ENVY beaten 2-0 by Leviatán and FURIA also described as being in trouble in the group.[7][8] VLR and tournament listings place the match on Saturday, 1 August at 5:00 pm EDT, while another live score page showed the series as scheduled and then live at 21:00 UTC, so settlement depends on the final official result rather than pre-match sentiment.[1][3][17] For traders comparing venues, the main operational differences are not the match itself but access and costs: Polymarket is usually open to crypto users, while Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets are more geography- and identity-gated, with Betfair/Smarkets adding commission to winnings rather than embedding the edge in the quoted probability.
Methodology
We read Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Ame… on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →