Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Taylor Pendrith | 48% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 46% |
| Blades Brown | 43% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 43% |
| Benjamin James | 42% |
| Rico Hoey | 40% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 38% |
| Beau Hossler | 37% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 37% |
| Kevin Yu | 35% |
| Max McGreevy | 34% |
| Zach Bauchou | 33% |
| Taylor Moore | 33% |
| Ugo Coussaud | 32% |
| Alejandro Del Rey | 31% |
| Austin Eckroat | 31% |
| Kevin Roy | 31% |
| Chan Kim | 28% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 28% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 28% |
| Jacob Skov Olesen | 27% |
| Garrick Higgo | 27% |
| Jorge Campillo | 26% |
| Chad Ramey | 25% |
| Thomas Rosenmuller | 25% |
| Lanto Griffin | 25% |
| Brice Garnett | 25% |
| Vince Whaley | 25% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 25% |
| Seamus Power | 24% |
| A.J. Ewart | 24% |
| Joel Dahmen | 23% |
| Manuel Elvira | 22% |
| Carson Young | 21% |
| Romain Langasque | 21% |
| David Skinns | 21% |
| Niklas Norgaard Moller | 20% |
| Paul Waring | 20% |
| Hayden Springer | 20% |
| Tom Vaillant | 19% |
| Todd Clements | 19% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 19% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 18% |
| Adam Hadwin | 18% |
| Danny Willett | 18% |
| Maximilian Steinlechner | 18% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 17% |
| Adam Svensson | 17% |
| Alejandro Tosti | 17% |
| Ricardo Gouveia | 17% |
| Davis Bryant | 17% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 17% |
| Davis Chatfield | 16% |
| Jeremy Paul | 16% |
| Marcus Kinhult | 16% |
| Christo Lamprecht | 16% |
| Dylan Wu | 15% |
| Tyler Duncan | 15% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 15% |
| Nicolai Von Dellingshausen | 15% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 14% |
| Trace Crowe | 14% |
| S.Y. Noh | 14% |
| Aaron Wise | 14% |
| Luke Clanton | 14% |
| Thriston Lawrence | 14% |
| Brandon Stone | 14% |
| David Ravetto | 14% |
| Brandon Robinson-Thompson | 14% |
| Harry Higgs | 14% |
| Paul Peterson | 14% |
| Nick Hardy | 14% |
| Taylor Montgomery | 14% |
| Yuto Katsuragawa | 14% |
| Danny Walker | 14% |
| Cameron Champ | 13% |
| Kensei Hirata | 13% |
| Nick Dunlap | 13% |
| Rafael Cabrera Bello | 13% |
| Joel Girrbach | 13% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 13% |
| Frederik Schott | 12% |
| Sean Crocker | 12% |
| Fabian Gomez | 12% |
| Justin Lower | 12% |
| Henry Lebioda | 12% |
| Jens Dantorp | 12% |
| Nacho Elvira | 11% |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 11% |
| Ben Martin | 11% |
| John Vanderlaan | 11% |
| Marcel Schneider | 11% |
| Marcus Helligkilde | 11% |
| Peter Malnati | 11% |
| Luke List | 11% |
| Rikuya Hoshino | 9% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 8% |
| Richie Ramsay | 7% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 1% |
| Mark Hubbard | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 48% probability to pga tour: corales puntacana championship top 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If fin…
Methodology
We read PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade PGA Tour: Corales Puntacana Championship Top 20 on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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