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Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Which venue prices "Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $616K Liquidity: $152K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo83%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.575%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 Winner54%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 Winner54%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.552%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.548%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.543%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 36.528%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: alejandro davidovich fokina vs juan manuel cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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