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Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $423K Liquidity: $130K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 10.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set Handicap +/-1.553%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 Winner49%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 Winner47%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Total Sets: O/U 4.535%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard30%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set Handicap +/-2.528%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: yannick hanfmann vs giovanni mpetshi perricard stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi … on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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