🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda

Which venue prices "US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 Winner 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $69K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
Open live market →
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Match O/U 23.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open, qualification atp: jack pinnington jones vs trevor svajda. This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Pinnington Jones and Trevor Svajda in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We read US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs… on Kalshi Alternative

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets