Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vitality | 27% |
| Falcons | 22% |
| Spirit | 21% |
| FURIA | 11% |
| Aurora | 5% |
| G2 | 5% |
| MOUZ | 5% |
| The MongolZ | 5% |
| FUT | 5% |
| GamerLegion | 3% |
| Astralis | 1% |
| FaZe | 1% |
| Ninjas in Pyjamas | 1% |
| Alliance | 1% |
| EYEBALLERS | 1% |
| HEROIC | 1% |
| Nemesis | 1% |
| SINNERS | 1% |
| 100 Thieves | 1% |
| Nemiga | 1% |
| magic | 0% |
| paiN | 0% |
| Liquid | 0% |
| M80 | 0% |
| 3DMAX | 0% |
| Sharks | 0% |
| Gentle Mates | 0% |
| Wildcard | 0% |
| FOKUS | 0% |
| Nuclear TigeRES | 0% |
| HOTU | 0% |
| OG | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 27% probability to blast bounty 2026 season 2: qualify to lan. This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that make BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 LAN Finals, scheduled for July 30 to August 2, 2026 at BLAST Studio in Malta. If BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 is p…
Methodology
This page compares BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Trade BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Qualify to LAN on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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