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Arizona vs. Washington State

Which venue prices "Arizona vs. Washington State" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Arizona vs. Washington State 100% Spread -9.5 100% Spread -8.5 100% Spread -7.5 100% Volume: $361K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Arizona vs. Washington State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Arizona vs. Washington State100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H O/U 17.5100%
2H O/U 20.5100%
2H O/U 23.5100%
2H O/U 26.5100%
1Q O/U 3.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
1Q O/U 9.5100%
1Q O/U 12.5100%
1Q O/U 15.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q O/U 4.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 9.5100%
4Q O/U 12.5100%
4Q O/U 15.5100%
4Q O/U 18.5100%
Arizona O/U 22.5100%
Arizona O/U 25.5100%
Arizona O/U 28.5100%
Arizona O/U 31.5100%
Washington State O/U 13.5100%
Washington State O/U 16.5100%
Washington State O/U 19.5100%
Washington State O/U 22.5100%
Washington State 1H O/U 7.5100%
Washington State 1H O/U 9.5100%
Washington State 1H O/U 11.5100%
Arizona 2H O/U 12.5100%
Arizona 2H O/U 14.5100%
Arizona 2H O/U 16.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5100%
Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
Arizona O/U 3.550%
Washington State O/U 2.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.550%
Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -10.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
2H O/U 29.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
Arizona O/U 34.50%
Washington State O/U 25.50%
Arizona 1H O/U 14.50%
Arizona 1H O/U 16.50%
Arizona 1H O/U 18.50%
Washington State 2H O/U 7.50%
Washington State 2H O/U 9.50%
Washington State 2H O/U 11.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Washington State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Washington State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Washington State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Washington State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Washington State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Washington State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Washington State Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Washington State Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Arizona vs. Washington State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%

Market context

The Arizona vs. Washington State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Arizona and Washington State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona" if Arizona win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Arizona vs. Washington State at 100% for "Arizona vs. Washington State".

Arizona vs. Washington State 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $361K.

Methodology

We read Arizona vs. Washington State from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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