Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 98% |
| Cincinnati O/U 23.5 | 96% |
| O/U 51.5 | 93% |
| O/U 55.5 | 89% |
| O/U 49.5 | 88% |
| O/U 53.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 85% |
| West Virginia O/U 23.5 | 85% |
| O/U 57.5 | 84% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 83% |
| O/U 47.5 | 82% |
| O/U 43.5 | 80% |
| Spread -0.5 | 79% |
| O/U 59.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 74% |
| O/U 61.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia | 69% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 63.5 | 63% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 60% |
| O/U 65.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| Cincinnati 1H O/U 15.5 | 53% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 35.5 | 51% |
| O/U 37.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| O/U 41.5 | 51% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cincinnati vs. West Virginia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Cincinnati O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| West Virginia O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| West Virginia 1H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 69.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| O/U 71.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| O/U 73.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of cincinnati vs. west virginia. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Cincinnati and West Virginia, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati" if Cincinnati win the g…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $175K.
Methodology
This page compares Cincinnati vs. West Virginia specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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