Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| Spread -0.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 89% |
| Spread -1.5 | 84% |
| Spread -2.5 | 84% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| Spread -3.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| Spread -4.5 | 76% |
| Spread -5.5 | 74% |
| Spread -6.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| O/U 45.5 | 70% |
| O/U 47.5 | 65% |
| Spread -7.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 61% |
| Spread -8.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 53% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Florida O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Florida Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 47% |
| Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Florida 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Florida 1H O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 44% |
| O/U 53.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| Spread -14.5 | 37% |
| Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 33% |
| O/U 55.5 | 31% |
| Spread -17.5 | 29% |
| O/U 57.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 24% |
| Spread -20.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| O/U 59.5 | 20% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| Florida vs. Texas | 12% |
| O/U 65.5 | 12% |
| Spread -2.5 | 11% |
| Spread -1.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| Spread -3.5 | 8% |
| Spread -5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 6% |
| O/U 69.5 | 6% |
| Spread -6.5 | 5% |
| O/U 71.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
| Spread -7.5 | 4% |
| O/U 75.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, florida vs. texas stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Texas, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $225K.
Methodology
This page compares Florida vs. Texas specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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