Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| O/U 39.5 | 83% |
| O/U 45.5 | 71% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 71% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 66% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| O/U 49.5 | 62% |
| Spread -0.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 58% |
| O/U 47.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Ole Miss O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| Texas O/U 23.5 | 54% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 53.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Texas O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Texas 1H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Texas 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| Texas 1H O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Ole Miss 2H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 49% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| Ole Miss O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Texas O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 46% |
| Texas 1H O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| O/U 55.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Texas O/U 32.5 | 44% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Spread -6.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Ole Miss O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 1H Moneyline | 43% |
| O/U 57.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Texas O/U 35.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Ole Miss vs. Texas | 40% |
| Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| O/U 67.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| Ole Miss 1H O/U 15.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| O/U 71.5 | 17% |
| O/U 73.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of ole miss vs. texas. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Texas, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
This page compares Ole Miss vs. Texas specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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