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Ohio State vs. Texas

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Ohio State vs. Texas" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 28.5 95% O/U 30.5 91% O/U 32.5 86% O/U 34.5 83% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.595%
O/U 30.591%
O/U 32.586%
O/U 34.583%
O/U 36.581%
O/U 38.576%
2Q O/U 7.576%
Texas O/U 18.575%
Ohio State O/U 17.575%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 40.572%
O/U 42.572%
4Q O/U 7.570%
2H Moneyline67%
2Q Moneyline67%
3Q Moneyline67%
4Q Moneyline67%
Ohio State O/U 20.567%
Texas O/U 21.564%
2Q O/U 10.564%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 2.562%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
3Q Spread -3.562%
O/U 46.561%
Texas O/U 22.561%
4Q O/U 10.561%
O/U 47.559%
Ohio State O/U 2.559%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
O/U 48.555%
1Q O/U 7.554%
2Q O/U 13.554%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2Q Spread -1.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown50%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 18.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
Ohio State O/U 24.549%
Texas O/U 25.549%
1H O/U 24.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
1Q Moneyline48%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Texas 1H O/U 15.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Ohio State O/U 26.545%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
O/U 52.544%
4Q Spread -0.544%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
3Q O/U 12.543%
Spread -3.542%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2Q Spread -2.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
2Q O/U 16.542%
3Q Spread -0.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
O/U 54.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
3Q Spread -1.539%
Ohio State O/U 27.539%
4Q Spread -2.539%
3Q Spread -2.538%
1H Spread -3.538%
1H O/U 27.538%
Spread -4.537%
4Q Spread -2.537%
2Q Spread -2.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
Spread -3.537%
2H Spread -3.536%
4Q O/U 16.536%
Spread -5.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
1H Spread -3.535%
1Q Spread -3.535%
1Q O/U 13.535%
2Q Spread -3.535%
O/U 56.534%
1Q Spread -2.534%
Spread -6.533%
Spread -4.533%
4Q Spread -3.533%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
Ohio State O/U 3.532%
Spread -5.532%
2Q Spread -3.532%
Texas O/U 30.531%
4Q Spread -3.531%
O/U 58.530%
Spread -6.530%
1H O/U 30.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
3Q Spread -3.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown28%
Ohio State O/U 30.528%
1Q Spread -3.528%
2Q O/U 19.528%
1Q Spread -2.527%
Spread -7.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
4Q O/U 19.526%
O/U 60.525%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.525%
1Q O/U 16.525%
1Q O/U 10.524%
Spread -8.523%
O/U 62.523%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
O/U 64.520%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
Spread -8.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -27.516%
O/U 66.516%
Spread -11.516%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
O/U 68.514%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
Spread -24.512%
Spread -31.512%
Spread -14.512%
Spread -12.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -15.59%
Spread -34.57%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -15.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -20.55%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -18.55%
Spread -19.55%
Spread -22.55%

Market context

Ohio State vs. Texas. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 47% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-12T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 95% for "Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

We read Ohio State vs. Texas from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports