Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Rice O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Rice 1H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Rice 1H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 98% |
| O/U 42.5 | 92% |
| O/U 44.5 | 87% |
| O/U 46.5 | 87% |
| O/U 48.5 | 80% |
| Spread -3.5 | 77% |
| Spread -6.5 | 76% |
| O/U 50.5 | 68% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 62% |
| O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Spread -9.5 | 57% |
| O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| O/U 40.5 | 54% |
| O/U 34.5 | 53% |
| O/U 38.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| Fresno State O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -30.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Rice Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| Spread -10.5 | 40% |
| Spread -13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -12.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Spread -15.5 | 37% |
| O/U 58.5 | 37% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -18.5 | 36% |
| Spread -19.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| O/U 64.5 | 33% |
| O/U 60.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -24.5 | 13% |
| Rice vs. Fresno State | 11% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of rice vs. fresno state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Fresno State, scheduled for September 26 at 10:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $627K.
Methodology
This page compares Rice vs. Fresno State specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2314b8a6%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Rice vs. Fresno State on Kalshi Alternative
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →