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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $379K Liquidity: $558K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)100%
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Match Winner30%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.527%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Heroic (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: 3dmax vs heroic (bo3) - stake ranked episode 3 playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 2 match between 3DMAX and Heroic in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 15 at 8:3…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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