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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 57% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 56% Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 55% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 52% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $450K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)57%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)56%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 1 Winner32%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner20%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 57% YES probability for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 3DMAX and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if…

Methodology

This page compares Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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