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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Any Player Ultra Kill 100% Any Player Rampage 100% Volume: $211K Liquidity: $479K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Any Player Rampage100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Ends in Daytime9%
Game 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: DAN (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)0%

Market context

The Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dandelions and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for July 23 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dandelions" …

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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