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Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Which venue prices "Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $238K Liquidity: $780K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Game 2 Winner37%
Match Winner25%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

The Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between PlayTime and Execration in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTim…

Methodology

We read Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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