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Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Exact Score

Which venue prices "Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Exact Score" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Any Other Score 45% Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 0 Newcastle United FC 23% Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC 20% Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 1 Newcastle United FC 14% Volume: $250K Liquidity: $415K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
45% 55% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
45% 55% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score45%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 0 Newcastle United FC23%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC20%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 1 Newcastle United FC14%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 1 Newcastle United FC14%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 0 Newcastle United FC8%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Newcastle United FC6%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Newcastle United FC5%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 2 Newcastle United FC4%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 3 Newcastle United FC4%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 3 Newcastle United FC4%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 2 Newcastle United FC3%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC2%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 2 Newcastle United FC2%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 3 Newcastle United FC1%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC1%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC1%

Market context

The Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 45% YES. In the upcoming Premier League game between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tottenh…

Methodology

This page compares Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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