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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "England vs. DR Congo - Player Props" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 84% Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots 81% Noni Madueke: 1+ shots 72% Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots 69% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
84% 16% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
84% 16% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots84%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots81%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots72%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots69%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target68%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target61%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots60%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals55%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target54%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots52%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots51%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Dean Henderson: 3+ saves48%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots48%
Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves47%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots on target47%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots on target47%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots on target47%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target47%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target47%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target47%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target47%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target47%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists47%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists47%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists46%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists46%
Dean Henderson: 5+ saves44%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target44%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots43%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots43%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists43%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots42%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots41%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists41%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots39%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots39%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots39%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists39%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots38%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists36%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists35%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists35%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots33%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target32%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots31%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists29%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals28%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals27%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists26%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists25%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots24%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target23%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots22%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots22%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots21%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots21%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target21%
Noni Madueke: 5+ shots20%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals19%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists19%
Bukayo Saka: 5+ shots18%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists18%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals14%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists14%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists14%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals13%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists13%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals11%
Timothy Fayulu: 2+ saves11%
Timothy Fayulu: 4+ saves11%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target11%
Dean Henderson: 2+ saves10%
Dean Henderson: 4+ saves10%
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves10%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists10%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals9%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target9%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists9%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists9%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists8%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals7%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots on target7%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target7%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists7%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists6%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals5%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals5%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals5%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists5%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals4%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals4%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals4%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots4%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots4%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists4%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists4%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists4%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals3%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals3%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals3%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots3%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals2%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals2%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals2%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 5+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 5+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots on target2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals1%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals1%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals1%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals1%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists1%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, england vs. dr congo - player props stands at 84% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page compares England vs. DR Congo - Player Props specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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