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Mexico vs. England - Exact Score

Cross-platform snapshot for "Mexico vs. England - Exact Score": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Mexico 1 - 1 England 14% Mexico 0 - 1 England 13% Mexico 0 - 0 England 11% Mexico 1 - 0 England 11% Volume: $137K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mexico 1 - 1 England14%
Mexico 0 - 1 England13%
Mexico 0 - 0 England11%
Mexico 1 - 0 England11%
Mexico 1 - 2 England9%
Mexico 0 - 2 England8%
Mexico 2 - 1 England8%
Mexico 2 - 0 England6%
Mexico 2 - 2 England5%
Any Other Score5%
Mexico 0 - 3 England3%
Mexico 1 - 3 England3%
Mexico 3 - 1 England3%
Mexico 3 - 0 England2%
Mexico 2 - 3 England2%
Mexico 3 - 2 England2%
Mexico 3 - 3 England1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 14% probability to mexico vs. england - exact score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Mexico vs. England match originally s…

Methodology

This page compares Mexico vs. England - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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