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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Cross-platform snapshot for "PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Rory McIlroy 9% Tommy Fleetwood 4% Ludvig Aberg 3% Matt Fitzpatrick 3% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 9% 91% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 9% 91% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Rory McIlroy9%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Ludvig Aberg3%
Matt Fitzpatrick3%
Patrick Cantlay2%
Wyndham Clark2%
Alex Fitzpatrick2%
Chris Gotterup2%
Tyrrell Hatton2%
Viktor Hovland2%
Robert MacIntyre2%
Angel Ayora1%
Bud Cauley1%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra1%
Eric Cole1%
Pierceson Coody1%
Harris English1%
Ryan Fox1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Doug Ghim1%
Max Greyserman1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Tom Kim1%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Jake Knapp1%
Min Woo Lee1%
Hao-Tong Li1%
Shane Lowry1%
Alexander Noren1%
Zach Bauchou0%
Dan Bradbury0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Laurie Canter0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Seungbin Choi0%
Corey Conners0%
Martin Couvra0%
Cam Davis0%
Alejandro Del Ray0%
Hendrik Du Plessis0%
Nicolas Echavarria0%
Nacho Elvira0%
Ewen Ferguson0%
Grant Forrest0%
Dylan Frittelli0%
Julien Guerrier0%
Jordan Gumberg0%
Harry Hall0%
Brian Harman0%
Pádraig Harrington0%
Angel Hidalgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Calum Hill0%
Daniel Hillier0%
Charley Hoffman0%
Rasmus Hojgaard0%
Billy Horschel0%
Rikuya Hoshino0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Scott Jamieson0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Ryggs Johnston0%
Kota Yuta Kaneko0%
Yuto Katsuragawa0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Baekjun Kim0%
Michael Kim0%
Chris Kirk0%
Brooks Koepka0%
Jacques Kruyswijk0%
Frederic Lacroix0%
Joakim Lagergren0%
Pablo Larrazábal0%
Thriston Lawrence0%
Junghwan Lee0%
Mikael Lindberg0%
Joost Luiten0%
Matteo Manassero0%
Richard Mansell0%
Matt McCarty0%
Tom McKibbin0%
Mac Meissner0%
Adrian Meronk0%
Guido Migliozzi0%
Francesco Molinari0%
Taylor Moore0%
Dylan Naidoo0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Niklas Norgaard Moller0%
Shaun Norris0%
Andrew Novak0%
Tae-Hoon Ok0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Adrián Otaegui0%
John Parry0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Player 00%
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Player 20%
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Player 100%
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Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

The PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner prediction market currently prices this outcome at 9% YES. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Genesis Scottish Open tournament b…

Methodology

We read PGA Tour: Genesis Scottish Open Winner from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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