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Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 38.5 50% Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 40.5 50% Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $448K Liquidity: $24K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 3 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set Handicap +/-2.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics0%
Completed Match0%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics. This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van As…

Methodology

We read Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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