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US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata

Cross-platform snapshot for "US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata 89% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $42K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata89%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 Winner85%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner79%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 Winner77%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 3.573%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Game Spread +/-6.564%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 4.556%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 36.549%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-2.549%
US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 38.520%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: felix auger-aliassime vs rinky hijikata. This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Rinky Hijikata in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix …

Methodology

We read US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Trade US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Rinky Hijikata on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

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