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US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 3.5 100% US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $251K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 38.575%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.562%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.559%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone52%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 3 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Game Spread +/-3.550%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 4.548%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-2.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: matteo berrettini vs mariano navone. This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo B…

Methodology

This page compares US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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