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US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti

Cross-platform snapshot for "US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti 100% Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $317K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti100%
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 3.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-6.5100%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 38.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-2.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 40.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: alexander blockx vs marco trungelliti. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Marco Trungelliti in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexan…

Methodology

This page compares US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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