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Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Which venue prices "Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner 100% Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna 74% Completed Match 50% Volume: $175K Liquidity: $263K Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 Winner100%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna74%
Completed Match50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 21.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 23.550%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna. This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Co…

Methodology

We read Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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