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Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

Which venue prices "Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $592K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 21.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner50%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 22.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match0%
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to canadian open, qualification: alexei popyrin vs thanasi kokkinakis. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We read Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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