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Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile 100% Completed Match 100% Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner 100% Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $144K Closes: 27 Oct 2026
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Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile100%
Completed Match100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 Winner100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 21.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 22.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Match O/U 23.5100%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 Winner0%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile Game Spread +/-0.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, florence: alex marti pujolras vs pierluigi basile stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Marti Pujolras and Pierluigi Basile in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

We read Florence: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Pierluigi Basile from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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