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Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco

Which venue prices "Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco 100% Completed Match 100% Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 Winner 100% Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $6K Closes: 14 Sept 2026
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Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco100%
Completed Match100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 Winner100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 Winner100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Game Spread +/-1.51%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 21.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 22.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Match O/U 23.50%
Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to phan thiet 3: max purcell vs rodrigo pacheco. This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Rodrigo Pacheco in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell'…

Methodology

We read Phan Thiet 3: Max Purcell vs Rodrigo Pacheco from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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Related Topics

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