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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 Winner 100% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $416K Liquidity: $418K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 Winner100%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino84%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 21.575%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set Handicap +/-1.566%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 23.565%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 Winner64%
Completed Match50%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Match O/U 22.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino Total Sets: O/U 2.541%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open: andrey rublev vs andrea pellegrino. This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Andrea Pellegrino in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev…

Methodology

This page compares Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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