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Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien

Cross-platform snapshot for "Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner 100% Volume: $334K Liquidity: $221K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.574%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.549%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.548%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.546%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.537%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.525%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.511%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien11%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Dalibor Svrcina and Learner Tien in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina…

Methodology

This page compares Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

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