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Hawaii vs. Stanford

Cross-platform snapshot for "Hawaii vs. Stanford": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

O/U 31.5 87% O/U 37.5 82% Spread -1.5 73% Spread -2.5 70% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $866K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Hawaii vs. Stanford

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 87% 13% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 87% 13% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 31.587%
O/U 37.582%
Spread -1.573%
Spread -2.570%
1H Spread -4.565%
Spread -3.561%
O/U 41.560%
Spread -4.558%
O/U 43.554%
1H Spread -2.554%
Spread -6.553%
1Q Spread -2.553%
Spread: Stanford (-5.5)52%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -24.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 29.550%
O/U 33.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 39.550%
O/U 57.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 69.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Stanford O/U 20.550%
Stanford O/U 23.550%
Stanford O/U 26.550%
Stanford O/U 29.550%
Stanford O/U 32.550%
Hawaii O/U 15.550%
Hawaii O/U 18.550%
Hawaii O/U 21.550%
Hawaii O/U 24.550%
Hawaii O/U 27.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
Stanford 1H O/U 11.550%
Stanford 1H O/U 13.550%
Stanford 1H O/U 15.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 8.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 10.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 12.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 11.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 13.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 15.550%
Hawaii 2H O/U 8.550%
Hawaii 2H O/U 10.550%
Hawaii 2H O/U 12.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 7.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 9.550%
Hawaii 1H O/U 11.550%
Hawaii O/U 16.550%
Hawaii O/U 19.550%
Hawaii O/U 22.550%
Hawaii O/U 25.550%
Hawaii O/U 28.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 10.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 12.550%
Stanford 2H O/U 14.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -3.549%
1H Spread -3.548%
1H Moneyline47%
Spread -7.547%
O/U 45.547%
O/U 53.547%
3Q Spread -2.545%
O/U 48.544%
4Q Spread -2.544%
4Q Moneyline43%
2H Moneyline43%
O/U 47.540%
O/U 55.540%
O/U 51.539%
Spread -10.538%
O/U 49.536%
O/U 67.534%
Spread -13.532%
Spread -14.529%
Hawaii vs. Stanford28%
Spread -16.527%
Spread -17.523%
Spread -20.517%

Market context

The Hawaii vs. Stanford prediction market currently prices this outcome at 87% YES. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 7:00PM ET: If Hawaii wins, the market will resolve to "Hawaii". If Stanford wins, the market will resolve to "Stanford". If the game i…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 31.5 at 87% for "Hawaii vs. Stanford".

O/U 31.5 87% Other 13%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $186K.

Methodology

We read Hawaii vs. Stanford from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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