Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 99% |
| Spread -21.5 | 97% |
| Spread -24.5 | 92% |
| Spread -27.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 89% |
| Spread -38.5 | 57% |
| O/U 41.5 | 56% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rueben Owens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamarion Morrow: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Marcel Reed: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mario Craver: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Horton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carsyn Baker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ashton Bethel-Roman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terry Bussey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Micah Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Houston Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Richie Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Skyler Locklear: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ramone Green Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jmariyae Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Cope: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeron Askren: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Isaiah Myers: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James BlackStrain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Texas A&M 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas A&M O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -41.5 | 40% |
| Spread: Texas A&M (-40.5) | 39% |
| Texas A&M O/U 50.5 | 21% |
| O/U 47.5 | 20% |
| O/U 51.5 | 16% |
| O/U 52.5 | 13% |
| O/U 53.5 | 12% |
| O/U 55.5 | 5% |
| O/U 59.5 | 5% |
| O/U 65.5 | 3% |
| O/U 71.5 | 1% |
| Missouri State vs. Texas A&M | 0% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas A&M 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 0% |
Market context
Missouri State vs. Texas A&M — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 7:00PM ET: If Missouri State wins, the market will resolve to "Missouri State". If Texas A&M wins, the market will resolve to "Texas…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $142K.
Methodology
This page compares Missouri State vs. Texas A&M specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
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