Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -24.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| O/U 34.5 | 93% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| Spread -27.5 | 90% |
| Spread -0.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Spread -10.5 | 89% |
| O/U 38.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 87% |
| Spread -17.5 | 82% |
| Spread -16.5 | 81% |
| Spread -31.5 | 81% |
| O/U 42.5 | 81% |
| Spread -4.5 | 79% |
| O/U 44.5 | 78% |
| Spread -34.5 | 77% |
| Spread -21.5 | 76% |
| Spread -6.5 | 74% |
| Spread -8.5 | 74% |
| Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| Spread -20.5 | 73% |
| O/U 46.5 | 73% |
| Spread -14.5 | 72% |
| Virginia O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Virginia O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Virginia O/U 44.5 | 69% |
| O/U 48.5 | 67% |
| Norfolk State O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 50.5 | 62% |
| Virginia O/U 45.5 | 62% |
| Virginia O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| Virginia O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 57% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Spread -43.5 | 55% |
| Virginia O/U 48.5 | 55% |
| Spread -44.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 52% |
| Virginia O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 51% |
| Virginia O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Norfolk State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norfolk State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norfolk State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norfolk State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Connor Cox: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dylan Cope: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Spread -45.5 | 50% |
| Norfolk State 1H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norfolk State 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Virginia 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 49% |
| Virginia O/U 50.5 | 49% |
| O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| Virginia O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 45% |
| 2H Moneyline | 41% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 41% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 41% |
| Norfolk State O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Virginia O/U 52.5 | 40% |
| Virginia O/U 53.5 | 40% |
| Virginia O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| Xavier Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| Jekail Middlebrook: Anytime Touchdown | 35% |
| Beau Pribula: Anytime Touchdown | 35% |
| Virginia O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| Virginia O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| O/U 62.5 | 27% |
| O/U 64.5 | 25% |
| Peyton Lewis: Anytime Touchdown | 25% |
| Xay Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 24% |
| Kameron Courtney: Anytime Touchdown | 22% |
| Jacquon Gibson: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Norfolk State O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 66.5 | 18% |
| Dashawn Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 18% |
| Dakota Twitty: Anytime Touchdown | 17% |
| O/U 68.5 | 16% |
| O/U 70.5 | 12% |
| O/U 72.5 | 10% |
| Norfolk State O/U 10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 74.5 | 8% |
| Norfolk State vs. Virginia | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to norfolk state vs. virginia. In the upcoming college football game between Norfolk State and Virginia, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Norfolk State" if Norfolk State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $106K.
Methodology
We read Norfolk State vs. Virginia from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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