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San Diego State vs. UCLA

Which venue prices "San Diego State vs. UCLA" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

O/U 34.5 91% O/U 40.5 85% Spread -0.5 81% Spread -1.5 80% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $388K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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San Diego State vs. UCLA

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 34.591%
O/U 40.585%
Spread -0.581%
Spread -1.580%
Spread -2.577%
O/U 32.575%
Spread -3.573%
O/U 38.573%
O/U 46.573%
Spread -4.571%
O/U 36.571%
Spread -5.569%
Spread -6.567%
O/U 48.566%
O/U 42.566%
UCLA O/U 4.566%
O/U 49.564%
Spread -8.563%
Spread -7.562%
O/U 50.561%
O/U 51.559%
O/U 44.558%
UCLA O/U 31.557%
1H Spread -4.556%
1Q Spread -2.556%
UCLA 1H O/U 16.556%
O/U 52.555%
O/U 53.555%
1H Spread -5.555%
Spread -10.554%
1H Spread -6.554%
San Diego State 1H O/U 9.554%
O/U 54.553%
San Diego State O/U 20.553%
Spread -11.551%
1Q Spread -5.551%
1Q Moneyline51%
2Q Spread -1.551%
2Q Spread -4.551%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Spread -4.551%
3Q Moneyline51%
4Q Spread -0.551%
UCLA O/U 28.551%
San Diego State O/U 17.551%
San Diego State 1H O/U 8.551%
San Diego State 1H O/U 10.551%
1Q Spread -0.551%
UCLA 2H O/U 13.551%
UCLA 2H O/U 15.551%
San Diego State 1H O/U 11.551%
UCLA 2H O/U 18.551%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
San Diego State O/U 14.550%
San Diego State O/U 26.550%
San Diego State 1H O/U 12.550%
UCLA 1H O/U 15.550%
UCLA 1H O/U 17.550%
UCLA 1H O/U 19.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Spread -12.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 17.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 7.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 9.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 11.550%
San Diego State 1H O/U 7.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.550%
UCLA 1H O/U 14.550%
UCLA 1H O/U 18.550%
2H Spread -5.549%
4Q Spread -2.549%
UCLA O/U 34.549%
O/U 55.548%
Spread -13.548%
1Q Spread -3.548%
UCLA O/U 40.548%
San Diego State O/U 2.546%
O/U 56.545%
1H Spread -7.545%
4Q Spread -3.545%
Spread -14.544%
1H Spread -8.543%
3Q Spread -2.543%
2Q Spread -3.542%
1H Spread -9.541%
Spread -16.540%
O/U 58.540%
O/U 62.538%
Spread -17.537%
O/U 60.536%
3Q Spread -3.534%
San Diego State O/U 23.534%
O/U 66.533%
O/U 68.533%
O/U 72.533%
UCLA O/U 37.532%
Spread -20.531%
O/U 64.527%
Spread -21.526%
1H Moneyline25%
Spread -24.523%
San Diego State vs. UCLA20%
Spread -27.517%
O/U 70.516%
Spread -31.514%
Spread -34.514%

Market context

San Diego State vs. UCLA — current market-implied probability: 91%. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and UCLA, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego State win the game. This mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 34.5 at 91% for "San Diego State vs. UCLA".

O/U 34.5 91% Other 9%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $68K.

Methodology

This page compares San Diego State vs. UCLA specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
and

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Related Topics

Sports