Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Florida vs. Army | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 40.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Army O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| South Florida O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| South Florida 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 91% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 91% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 59% |
| South Florida O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| South Florida O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cale Hellums: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| D.J. Crowther: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Godspower Nwawuihe: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jason Collins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Samari Howard: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Arhmad Branch: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Michael Van Buren Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zach Mundell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Stratton Fuller: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Rodgers: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Rendina: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| JeyQuan Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brady Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chase Garnett: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Wyatt Sullivan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Lloyd Benson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Seldon: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Armani Winfield: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Alvon Isaac: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mudia Reuben: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tobi Olawole: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Army 2H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| O/U 52.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| Spread -31.5 | 1% |
| O/U 58.5 | 1% |
| O/U 60.5 | 1% |
| O/U 64.5 | 1% |
| O/U 66.5 | 1% |
| O/U 70.5 | 1% |
| Army O/U 24.5 | 1% |
| Army O/U 27.5 | 1% |
| Army O/U 30.5 | 1% |
| Army O/U 25.5 | 1% |
| Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -11.5 | 1% |
| Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Army O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| South Florida 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Army 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of south florida vs. army. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between South Florida and Army, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.
Methodology
We read South Florida vs. Army from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.
FAQ
- Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
- Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
- Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
- Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
- What about Smarkets as an alternative?
- Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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