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UAB vs. Illinois

Cross-platform snapshot for "UAB vs. Illinois": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Spread -1.5 95% Spread -6.5 90% O/U 36.5 87% Spread -13.5 83% Volume: $71K Liquidity: $80K Closes: 4 Sept 2026
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UAB vs. Illinois

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.595%
Spread -6.590%
O/U 36.587%
Spread -13.583%
Spread -7.581%
Spread -10.581%
O/U 42.581%
Spread -14.580%
Spread -16.579%
Spread -17.574%
Spread -20.571%
O/U 48.570%
1H Spread -13.569%
Illinois O/U 37.562%
Spread -8.561%
Spread -24.558%
UAB O/U 13.557%
O/U 50.556%
O/U 54.556%
1H Spread -14.556%
Spread -4.555%
Spread -21.555%
O/U 38.555%
3Q Spread -6.555%
Spread -2.554%
Spread -5.554%
2Q Spread -6.554%
Illinois O/U 34.554%
Spread -3.553%
Spread -34.553%
2Q Moneyline53%
2H Spread -9.553%
Illinois O/U 41.551%
2Q Spread -7.551%
Illinois 1H O/U 19.551%
Illinois 1H O/U 23.551%
Illinois 1H O/U 22.551%
Spread: Illinois (-28.5)50%
O/U 55.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 52.550%
O/U 62.550%
O/U 64.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 70.550%
O/U 74.550%
O/U 76.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Illinois O/U 36.550%
Illinois O/U 39.550%
Illinois O/U 42.550%
Illinois O/U 45.550%
Illinois O/U 48.550%
UAB O/U 7.550%
UAB O/U 10.550%
UAB O/U 16.550%
UAB O/U 19.550%
Illinois O/U 35.550%
Illinois O/U 38.550%
Illinois O/U 44.550%
Illinois O/U 47.550%
1H Spread -12.550%
1H Spread -15.550%
1H Spread -16.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Illinois 1H O/U 21.550%
UAB 1H O/U 4.550%
UAB 1H O/U 6.550%
UAB 1H O/U 8.550%
Illinois 1H O/U 20.550%
Illinois 1H O/U 24.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -10.550%
2Q Spread -11.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 15.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 17.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 19.550%
UAB 2H O/U 4.550%
UAB 2H O/U 6.550%
UAB 2H O/U 8.550%
1H Spread -18.550%
Illinois O/U 40.550%
Illinois O/U 43.550%
Illinois O/U 46.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
O/U 53.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 37.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 14.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 16.550%
Illinois 2H O/U 18.550%
Spread -25.550%
Illinois O/U 32.550%
UAB 1H O/U 5.550%
UAB 1H O/U 7.550%
UAB 1H O/U 9.550%
Spread -27.549%
4Q Spread -6.549%
1Q Moneyline48%
3Q Moneyline48%
4Q Moneyline48%
1Q Spread -7.546%
O/U 58.545%
O/U 56.544%
3Q Spread -7.543%
4Q Spread -7.543%
1Q Spread -6.541%
1H Spread -17.539%
2H Spread -13.539%
2H Spread -14.536%
O/U 66.530%
Spread -26.526%
O/U 60.518%
O/U 72.58%
UAB vs. Illinois5%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to uab vs. illinois. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 3 at 9:00PM ET: If UAB wins, the market will resolve to "UAB". If Illinois wins, the market will resolve to "Illinois". If the game is po…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 95% for "UAB vs. Illinois".

Spread -1.5 95% Other 5%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $71K.

Methodology

This page compares UAB vs. Illinois specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
and

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Related Topics

Sports