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Villanova vs. Louisville

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "Villanova vs. Louisville" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 36.5 100% O/U 38.5 100% O/U 40.5 100% O/U 42.5 100% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $326K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Villanova vs. Louisville

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
O/U 40.5100%
O/U 42.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
O/U 46.5100%
1H Spread -18.5100%
1H Spread -19.5100%
1H Spread -20.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -7.5100%
1Q Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -9.5100%
Villanova O/U 3.5100%
Villanova O/U 6.5100%
Villanova O/U 9.5100%
1Q Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -11.5100%
Villanova O/U 1.5100%
Villanova O/U 4.5100%
Villanova O/U 7.5100%
1Q Spread -12.5100%
Villanova O/U 2.5100%
Villanova O/U 5.5100%
Villanova O/U 8.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 25.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 27.5100%
Louisville 1H O/U 29.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 1.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 3.5100%
Villanova 1H O/U 5.5100%
1H O/U 25.5100%
1H O/U 28.5100%
1H O/U 31.5100%
1H O/U 34.5100%
1H O/U 37.5100%
1Q Spread -13.5100%
1Q O/U 8.5100%
1Q O/U 11.5100%
1Q O/U 14.5100%
1Q O/U 17.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
Spread -16.598%
Spread -17.598%
O/U 50.598%
Spread -14.597%
Spread -20.597%
Spread -21.595%
O/U 54.592%
Spread -24.591%
Spread -27.591%
O/U 55.585%
O/U 56.584%
O/U 58.579%
Spread -23.577%
O/U 48.576%
O/U 52.576%
Spread -30.575%
O/U 57.571%
O/U 60.569%
O/U 64.569%
Spread -31.564%
Spread -29.564%
Spread -34.563%
Spread -32.563%
Spread -33.561%
Spread -41.557%
Spread -5.556%
O/U 62.554%
Spread -37.554%
Spread -36.553%
Spread -4.553%
Spread -35.552%
Spread -0.552%
Spread -1.552%
Spread -2.552%
Spread -3.552%
Spread -6.552%
Spread -8.552%
Spread -10.552%
O/U 66.551%
Villanova O/U 0.550%
Villanova O/U 1.550%
Villanova O/U 2.550%
Villanova O/U 3.550%
Louisville O/U 0.550%
Louisville O/U 1.550%
Louisville O/U 2.550%
Louisville O/U 3.550%
Spread -7.550%
Spread -13.550%
2H Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -6.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Villanova O/U 12.550%
Villanova O/U 15.550%
Louisville O/U 40.550%
Louisville O/U 43.550%
Louisville O/U 46.550%
Louisville O/U 49.550%
Louisville O/U 52.550%
Isaac Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tre Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lincoln Kienholz: Anytime Touchdown50%
Keyjuan Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
TreyShun Hurry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brody Foley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaleel Skinner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Lawayne McCoy: Anytime Touchdown50%
Isaiah Ragland: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ja'briel Mace: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Spread -4.550%
Louisville O/U 39.550%
Louisville O/U 42.550%
Louisville O/U 45.550%
Louisville O/U 48.550%
Louisville O/U 51.550%
Villanova O/U 10.550%
Villanova O/U 13.550%
Louisville O/U 41.550%
Louisville O/U 44.550%
Louisville O/U 47.550%
Louisville O/U 50.550%
Louisville O/U 53.550%
Villanova O/U 11.550%
Villanova O/U 14.550%
Spread -58.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -18.550%
2H Spread -19.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
2H O/U 31.550%
2H O/U 34.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
3Q O/U 19.550%
4Q Spread -11.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 2.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 4.550%
Villanova 2H O/U 6.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 21.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 23.550%
Louisville 2H O/U 25.550%
2H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -13.550%
2H Spread -15.550%
Spread -39.549%
Spread -55.549%
Spread -40.548%
O/U 70.540%
O/U 68.539%
Spread -42.537%
Spread -43.537%
Spread -44.537%
O/U 72.536%
O/U 76.535%
Spread -46.535%
Spread -38.534%
Spread -52.533%
Spread -48.531%
Spread -45.528%
Spread -54.528%
Spread -51.522%
O/U 74.518%
Villanova vs. Louisville1%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -22.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Spread -12.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
1H Spread -23.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -24.50%
1H Spread -25.50%
1H Spread -27.50%
1Q O/U 20.50%
2Q Spread -17.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%

Market context

Villanova vs. Louisville — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Villanova and Louisville, scheduled for September 11 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villanova" if Villanova win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 36.5 at 100% for "Villanova vs. Louisville".

O/U 36.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.

Methodology

This page compares Villanova vs. Louisville specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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