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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Cross-platform snapshot for "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 55% Ends in Daytime 53% Ends in Daytime 53% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $519K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?55%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?42%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)39%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Ultra Kill34%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage19%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 56% probability to dota 2: team spirit vs team vision (bo3) - the international playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page compares Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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