Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group E match between Curaçao and Côte d'Ivoire, played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on 25 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market tracks whether this game generates more betting markets than a comparable fixture, with the crowd currently implying a 66% probability of "YES". This high confidence mirrors historical patterns where matches involving African nations with strong global fanbases, like Côte d'Ivoire, consistently attract deeper market liquidity than those from smaller Caribbean contingents, as seen in prior World Cup cycles where Ivory Coast fixtures averaged 40% more available prop markets[2].

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements regarding squad line-ups and any late injury news, as these directly influence market depth. Recent training footage confirms Curaçao’s preparation is underway, but Côte d'Ivoire’s star-heavy roster often drives bookmakers to expand their offerings significantly[8]. The divergence between platforms is stark: Polymarket users see implied probabilities (66% YES), whereas Kalshi and Betfair display decimal odds (approximately 1.52), and fee structures vary from Polymarket’s 0% trading fee to Betfair’s 2–6% commission on winnings. Additionally, KYC requirements differ, with Kalshi enforcing strict identity verification while Polymarket remains permissionless, affecting who can access this specific market[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We read Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live quote comes directly from the Polygon order book; the other three are listed with their platform attributes — fees, KYC, settlement currency, payment options — because a 1:1 contract comparison without API access would be guesswork.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). PolyGram routes every trade directly into Polymarket's on-chain settlement, which is why payouts land fastest.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.