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Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Which venue prices "Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia 14% Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia 12% Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia 12% Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia 10% Volume: $240K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia14%
Portugal 1 - 0 Croatia12%
Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia12%
Portugal 2 - 0 Croatia10%
Any Other Score9%
Portugal 0 - 0 Croatia8%
Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia6%
Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 0 Croatia6%
Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia6%
Portugal 3 - 2 Croatia4%
Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia2%
Portugal 1 - 3 Croatia2%
Portugal 2 - 3 Croatia2%
Portugal 0 - 3 Croatia1%
Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 14% probability to portugal vs. croatia - exact score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Croatia, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Croatia match original…

Methodology

This page compares Portugal vs. Croatia - Exact Score specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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Related Topics

Sports