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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Which venue prices "LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 72% Volume: $439K Liquidity: $675K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon72%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?64%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)64%
O/U 3.5 Games63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?54%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?39%
Game 4 Winner38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?37%
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)36%
Game 1 Winner33%
Game 2 Winner33%
Game 3 Winner33%
First Blood in Game 2?31%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor26%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors26%
Any Player Quadra Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
O/U 4.5 Games25%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors25%
Any Player Quadra Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor25%
Match Winner20%
Any Player Penta Kill12%
Any Player Penta Kill12%
Any Player Penta Kill12%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: deep cross gaming vs team liquid (bo5) - mid-season invitational play-in stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Deep Cross Gaming and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 29 at 4:0…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Is Betfair a Polymarket alternative?
Only partially. Betfair Exchange is UK-focused with a sports-betting emphasis; they have politics markets but with thinner liquidity than Polymarket. Settlement in GBP/EUR, 2-5% commission on winnings.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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