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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Cross-platform snapshot for "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In": deepest order book, lowest fee, geo-coverage at a glance.

Match Winner 76% Game 1 Winner 67% O/U 3.5 Games 66% Game 2 Winner 65% Volume: $87K Liquidity: $403K Closes: 26 Aug 2026
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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner76%
Game 1 Winner67%
O/U 3.5 Games66%
Game 2 Winner65%
Game 3 Winner65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon64%
Game 4 Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?62%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)56%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 4?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?44%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon41%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)30%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: kt rolster vs hanjin brion (bo5) - lck play-in stands at 76% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market …

Methodology

This page compares LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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