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LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Betfair vs Smarkets for "LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs" — live odds, fees and KYC side-by-side.

O/U 3.5 Games 71% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 51% Any Player Quadra Kill 51% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $96K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)47%
Game 3 Winner46%
Game 2 Winner45%
Game 1 Winner44%
Game 4 Winner44%
Match Winner38%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Game Handicap: DNS (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)34%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)25%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers (+2.5)13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to lol: t1 vs dn soopers (bo5) - kespa cup playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between T1 and DN SOOPers in the KeSPA Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win th…

Methodology

This page compares LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.

FAQ

Polymarket vs Kalshi — which is better?
Depends on your location. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated, US-only with full KYC. Polymarket is global, on-chain, no KYC up to $1,500. Polymarket has ~10x higher liquidity but higher regulatory risk.
What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

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