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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

Which venue prices "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 89% Detroit Tigers O/U 1.5 89% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 79% Detroit Tigers O/U 2.5 74% Volume: $119K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.589%
Detroit Tigers O/U 1.589%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.579%
Detroit Tigers O/U 2.574%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 2.573%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.567%
O/U 7.563%
Detroit Tigers O/U 3.561%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 3.559%
O/U 8.555%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.555%
NRFI51%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers48%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 4.547%
Detroit Tigers O/U 4.547%
O/U 9.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.543%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.536%
Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 5.535%
Detroit Tigers O/U 5.534%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.530%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.526%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 48% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-03T17:10:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 at 89% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers".

Pittsburgh Pirates O/U 1.5 89% Other 11%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.

Methodology

This page compares Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers specifically across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets. The live probability is the Polymarket mid; the comparison columns summarise each venue's fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi Alternative, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
What about Smarkets as an alternative?
Smarkets is a UK betting exchange with a lower default commission (2%) than Betfair. Liquidity on political markets is below Polymarket, comparable to Kalshi. Geo-blocked in many jurisdictions.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

Sports