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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Which venue prices "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies" best? Direct comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair and Smarkets.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 61% O/U 8.5 51% Spread -1.5 50% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $630K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.561%
O/U 8.551%
Spread -1.550%
NRFI48%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.548%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.547%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.534%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies33%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.516%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.510%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pittsburgh pirates vs. philadelphia phillies stands at 75% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 30 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pitt…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 75% for "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 75% Other 25%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $161K.

Methodology

We read Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.

Resolution & payout

Settlement is the biggest difference between the four platforms: Polymarket on-chain in USDC (instant), Kalshi USD via CFTC (T+1), Betfair and Smarkets in local currency via bank withdrawal (T+1 to T+3). On-chain settlement clears in minutes — the fastest payout path of the four.

FAQ

What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
Which platform is accessible globally?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
Are all these platforms regulated?
No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
and

Trade Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Kalshi Alternative

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Related Topics

Sports