Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi Alternative) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| St. Louis City SC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake (-1.5) | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| St. Louis City SC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Real Salt Lake 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
St. Louis City SC and Real Salt Lake met in an MLS fixture scheduled for 1 August at 8:30 pm ET, and the “More Markets” contract sits in a live football pricing environment rather than a single outcome market. On comparable books, the main win lines were not uniform: some priced St. Louis as a modest favourite around 2.15 decimal or +110 to +120 moneyline, while others had the match closer to a coin flip or even favoured Real Salt Lake, which is why adjacent markets such as both teams to score and correct score have been carrying more signal than the headline result[1][2][9][11][16][18].
That matters because a 0% YES crowd-implied probability on a broad “more markets” listing is usually a liquidity and product-structure read, not a statement that no extra markets will appear. On Polymarket, prices are shown in cents and translate directly into implied probability, while Kalshi and Betfair-style platforms often present contracts through odds or exchange prices after fees, so the same event can look cheaper or richer depending on whether you are reading bid/ask, commission, or gross decimal odds. Kalshi’s current related MLS listings around this match also show how market granularity can differ by venue, with separate contracts such as first team to score priced far from zero even when the broader “more markets” prompt is flat[17][19].
For traders, the key catalyst is whether the match page receives additional props as line-ups, officiating, and live market construction are finalised near kick-off; those dependencies are what typically move “more markets” contracts rather than the underlying 1x2. Watch for official team news and late schedule changes, because draw-heavy or goals-based books can shift quickly when starting elevens are confirmed, and any platform-specific fee or KYC limitation will affect whether the same view is easiest to express on Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, or Smarkets[2][11][14][19].
Methodology
We read St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake - More Markets from four platform perspectives: Polymarket (on-chain CLOB), Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), Betfair Exchange (sports book exchange), Smarkets (peer-to-peer betting exchange). Polymarket's live mid is the canonical probability; the side-by-side columns benchmark fees, KYC, settlement currency and deposit rails so you can choose the venue that fits your jurisdiction and trade size.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket settles via UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window runs, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD through the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse — the cleanest variant, with heavier KYC. Betfair Exchange settles in account currency (GBP/EUR), net of 2-5% commission. Smarkets follows the same model as Betfair with a lower default 2% commission.
FAQ
- What does Polymarket cost vs Kalshi?
- Polymarket: 0% fees, only Polygon network costs (~$0.01/trade). Kalshi: up to 7% per trade plus spread. For high-frequency traders, Polymarket is dramatically cheaper.
- Which platform has the deepest liquidity?
- Polymarket — by a wide margin. Top markets reach $50-500M volume, Kalshi ~$200M cumulative, Betfair similar. Deeper liquidity means your trade moves the quote less.
- Which platform is accessible globally?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Kalshi is US-only. Betfair and Smarkets are UK-restricted. Kalshi Alternative has a different geo footprint and routes to Polymarket's order book at 0% fees.
- Are all these platforms regulated?
- No. Kalshi is CFTC-regulated (US). Betfair and Smarkets are UK Gambling Commission licensed. Polymarket operates without explicit regulation — a different risk profile than a regulated sportsbook.
- Which platform supports Klarna/SOFORT?
- Directly: none. Polymarket accepts only USDC on Polygon. Kalshi Alternative offers a fiat on-ramp via Klarna or SOFORT (DE/AT/CH) and converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. T+1 processing.
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